Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of “Non-Grain Production” in Hubei Province Based on a Non-Grain Index

Non-grain production (NGP) on cultivated land has become a common phenomenon due to the prosperity of rural economy and optimisation agricultural structure. However, excessive use cultivating for NGP threatened food sustainable land. To halt this trend ensure security, authors paper applied novel non-grain index measure NGP, which could reflect multiple activities; designated Hubei Province as its object research; revealed NGP’s spatio-temporal patterns past 30 years. We then assessed characteristics based spatial autocorrelation analysis, Theil index, geographically weighted regression. The results showed that value grew from 0.497 1.113 increased significantly in Province. number high-NGP counties increased, agglomeration became obvious, eastern western sides witnessed an observable growth NGP. As result, regions overtook central region. Despite series historical subsidy policies modernisation initiatives promoted planting grain crops, policy “grain valuable land” be better implemented. conclude by making some suggestions reducing protecting